A society that sacrifices the psychological wellbeing of its children to prevent moderate illness in adults has really screwed up its priorities, and that's increasingly the situation in places where the most at-risk have been vaccinated.

A few problems:

• Parents have to agree to not see their children for several months.

• Adults need to be present to supervise / teach the children, and they will be at risk from COVID.

• Early on, there was debate about whether contracting COVID led to immunity. (I personally thought people were being overly cautious about this, but even so.)

Taken together, I just don't see it working.

I am surprised we didn't see any college campuses (which really are boarding schools) attempt to isolate themselves. Both students and staff (!) are not allowed to leave campus or invite guests, and must quarantine for two weeks before arrival—but in return, you get to live a normal college life. It would be a huge commitment for professors with families, however.

Even some of the cities with the strictest regulations still felt like business as normal, albeit with masks, after about April or May of last year.

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/lockdown-effectiveness...

Aside from Long Covid, there's also a danger of adult's not being able to work, as people either self-isolate or are too ill to do their jobs.

Remote won't necessarily fix this - partly because if you're ill at home you're still ill, but also because there are many jobs which need people on-site.

If you get a huge peak at the same time, not only are hospitals overwhelmed - already happening in the UK - but other critical services are also endangered.

That's not what the study says. They found that the seropositive group of 6 to 16 year olds was more likely to report a symptom beyond 12 weeks than the seronegative group. 4% of the seropositive students versus only 2% for the control group.

The study authors conclude that the prevalence is low, but they do not conclude that it's about zero.

For comparison, Polio is estimated to be asymptomatic or extremely mild in 90% or 95% of cases. Polio only moves to the central nervous system in about 0.5% of cases, and only about 2-5% of children with CNS infection die (15-30% of adults with CNS involvement). That's a relatively small percentage, but at scale it's a devastating number of people impacted. At epidemic scales, you can't simply waive away small percentages in the 2% range as inconsequential when it translates to millions of people impacted.

That's not low for a virus which is infectious as Delta, and it's certainly not "about zero".

Why should anyone believe you instead of them?

This is surprising to read, guess it depends on where you live? Different countries are still at different stages of the pandemic, and it is most certainly not over for a lot of them, especially with the delta variant causing a third/fourth wave.

This is but true in a sense that pandemic never started.

Your child is more likely to die from other issues than Covid = almostnimmune

In fact almost nothing Trump said was true.

Even if you can find some examples, there are literally thousands of counterexamples from speeches and Tweets which were clearly nonsense - starting with the claim that he actually won the election, and working through a very long list from there.

The output happened to be right but the method to get there was fundamentally wrong and would be faulty if used in other scenarios.

Getting the right answer for the wrong reasons is still wrong in a way, the process to arrive at the conclusion is important.

Trump said whatever was politically useful to him in any given situation at best (either by earning him praise from supporters or by distracting his critics) and whatever he felt like or overheard someone else say at worst. That anyone would look at any statement from him and use it to justify praise for him or use its falseness to dunk on him is silly. Factuality wasn't a consideration for him when making any of his statements.

Like how small town book stores are inherently good and big stores evil. Regardless of facts.

Republicans will be portrayed as stupid and dangerous, regardless of facts. So when Trump was saying something it was automatically just that. If need be facts would be twisted until they fit that viewpoint.

For contrast the current president making a joke about running a reporter over is just a laughable moment now. Under Trump it would have been discussed for weeks.

  Definitions of Narrative Journalism

  Simply put, narrative is the way in which a story is constructed through a particular point of view and arrangement of events.