The New Inflection

194 points by break_the_bank 1 year ago | 157 comments
  • kcorbitt 1 year ago
    So sounds like the real news is that Microsoft basically acquihired the Inflection founding team?
    • nexuist 1 year ago
      I hope one day we can drop the corporate facade so these blog posts can be two to three sentences of "Our company sucked. Microsoft wanted to give me a fuck ton of money. I decided to take it. Some other guy is in charge now. Good luck!"
      • bee_rider 1 year ago
        Does getting acquhired by MS imply your company sucked?

        There are things I like about where I’m at but if MS really wanted to they could send enough dump trucks full of cash to ruin the local traffic situation. Is it worth staying at a place if you can’t even get out of the driveway to get to your favorite little cafe?

        • hinkley 1 year ago
          It means your people are good and your product isn’t. That requires a kind of cognitive dissonance that some people would call “suckage”. Certainly had that conversation many, many times.

          Just be careful you aren’t Boeing buying McDonell Douglas, where the cut throat culture infected the host and killed it, rather than being muted and managed out.

          • RockyMcNuts 1 year ago
            didn't really get acquihired, which would be if MSFT bought inflection, instead it seems MSFT hired away a team, probably with options and whatnot.
          • aeternum 1 year ago
            Ironically, AI will probably help to provide this.

            Could probably do it now with a browser plugin and the right llm prompt. Perhaps call it the un-BSifier.

            • OtherShrezzing 1 year ago
              The prompt "summarise this in 2-3 sentences in the least charitable way possible" returned the following on chat.mistral.ai

              >Inflection is changing its business model again, now trying to sell its AI services to commercial clients after realizing people can't replicate their AI model. They're losing two co-founders to Microsoft and bringing in some new CEO to run the show. They claim nothing will change for users, but who knows what will happen with all these changes going on.

            • duxup 1 year ago
              I think we can assume almost all acquisitions are "this cash is better than continuing to operate as we were.... make of that what you will".
              • guytv 1 year ago
                I asked ChatGPT to summarize, this is what it came up with:

                * Inflection shifts focus to AI studio business, developing custom AI models for commercial use.

                * Plans to host Inflection-2.5 on Microsoft Azure, with plans for other cloud platforms.

                * API launch soon, sign-ups for early access open.

                * Co-founders Mustafa and Karén to start Microsoft AI, leaving Inflection.

                * Sean White appointed new CEO; Reid Hoffman remains on board.

                * No immediate changes to Pi service; privacy and data policies unchanged.

                • f6v 1 year ago
                  Maybe someone try training an LLM to do just that.
                  • kookamamie 1 year ago
                    Hear, hear! There is a market for a no-bs-happenings.com.
                    • gcnnbdff 1 year ago
                      A lot of people don’t know this but all these VC valuations are fake, they had this planned years ago to fake growth.
                    • telltruth 1 year ago
                      They aquihired 3 people who didn’t do any technical work. Nadella miscalculated big time here.
                      • ipsum2 1 year ago
                        Fortune reported that Microsoft hired most employees from Inflection.
                        • jonny_eh 1 year ago
                          Not if it kneecaps a key competitor.
                          • verticalscaler 1 year ago
                            That's right, they could be doing no work at Google !
                          • m_ke 1 year ago
                            Right, Karen Simonyan is not technical at all...
                          • rllearneratwork 1 year ago
                            is it really a win on MSFT part though?
                            • vineyardmike 1 year ago
                              Absolutely.

                              Pi (their chat bot) is pretty nice to talk to. It’s really good with the whole para-social aspect of chatting without being weird. Is that useful? Maybe for research, probably less so for a direct product.Microsoft can probably get something useful from that.

                              More importantly though, Microsoft is now hosting a whole suite of LLMs on Azure. This is the lesson they learned after OpenAI had that acute leadership crisis. This is another hedge against OpenAI. I wouldn’t be surprised to see Microsoft start distancing themselves from OpenAI in the future.

                              • turnsout 1 year ago
                                Pi is nice to talk to because unlike other chatbots, it always, always, always asks a follow-up question. I'd love to see the system prompt. That's what's driving their claim of high engagement—the bot just keeps drilling you with questions, and for some people, the bait is irresistible.
                              • zooq_ai 1 year ago
                                It is not.

                                Mustafa Suleyman is the ultimate AI grifter.

                                He has ZERO technical skills. ZERO hardcore STEM background. He was just friends with Demis at the right time and road that hype train.

                                At Google he had a similar role VP of AI products or something and he contributed nothing (except all the garbage ethics, safety crap that didn't help google, probably kneecapped it actually)

                                This is Satya Nadella's worst AI move yet.

                                • petre 1 year ago
                                  "AI ethics" from a person booted based on allegations of coworker bullying?
                                  • rvz 1 year ago
                                    > (except all the garbage ethics, safety crap that didn't help google, probably kneecapped it actually)

                                    Yes. Inflection's AI was just too useless and safe to be of any use and ultimately made no money.

                                    > This is Satya Nadella's worst AI move yet.

                                    We'll see. But I predict that Inflection AI will eventually sunset Pi.

                                    • option 1 year ago
                                      I am not sure why you are being down voted. Track record matters.
                                      • bee_rider 1 year ago
                                        AI safety and ethics are a big deal. Nobody wants to buy a big heap of linear algebra. A big heap of linear algebra that is so close to becoming sentient that we have to plan what its ethics should be? Where do I put my money?!?

                                        If you ask engineers to sell linear algebra, they invent things like control systems, which are too tricky to sell.

                                      • 1 year ago
                                        • 1 year ago
                                      • nabakin 1 year ago
                                        I have some serious issues with this company's PR.

                                        They say their Inflection-2.5 model is the world's best personal AI[0] which is a dumb claim to make considering it is done off of automated benchmarks which we know are flawed and even if you assume automated benchmarks are good enough to claim that title, it would be held by dozens of other open weight models on HF, not Inflection-2.5.

                                        They said their Inflection-2 model was the second best in the world[1] while comparing it to Palm-2 which no one considers close to the best in the world. They again, based their claim on automated benchmarks which anyone knowledgeable in the space would know can be gamed and is not representative of actual conversational performance. (take a look at the Lmsys Arena Leaderboard for a better metric)

                                        They list other models they consider good while failing to mention or compare to Mixtral 8x7b, the best open model that exists.

                                        And they introduce buzzwords no one in the area uses like IQ and EQ as if they are innovative concepts.

                                        Making big, bold claims without evidence is the exact kind of manipulative PR speak I'd expect from a company with little to no substance.

                                        [0] https://inflection.ai/inflection-2-5

                                        [1] https://inflection.ai/inflection-2

                                        • bevekspldnw 1 year ago
                                          I just skimmed and came away with “Satya is dumping more Azure credits on some AI thing to screw with Big G again”. The rest was noise.
                                          • RaftPeople 1 year ago
                                            "After just 3 days of being incorporated and just 2 days of actual work performed, we have now created the best AI on the planet with trillions of active subscribers, per second.

                                            The quality of our product is so high, it is being compared to a perfect diamond the size of the entire solar system. But, we are humble, and while we think our tech is pretty darn good, we know that we can do better. That's why we are introducing v2 in just 2 business days from today, which will render all other forms of intelligence (human and artificial) irrelevant."

                                            • disqard 1 year ago
                                              I wish I could boost your comment even higher.

                                              It really captures what I felt as I started to read this PR bullshit. I fed it through an LLM to summarize it, and there was no substantive content in that summary.

                                              Lampooning aside, the sobering reality is that a tiny number of people are acquiring O($10^8) wealth (or more) via such shenanigans, and that is the reason we will see a lot more of this.

                                            • fullstackchris 1 year ago
                                              Tell me about it. I'm really starting to get ticked off trying to wade through garbage hype and actual improvements across everything "AI"
                                              • posix86 1 year ago
                                                Agreed, read a few sentence & move on.
                                                • nabakin 1 year ago
                                                  I think it's good to raise awareness of bad practices if you recognize them.
                                                  • maest 1 year ago
                                                    Fwiw I wasn't familiar with them and found gp's comment useful. I actually upvoted
                                                  • petre 1 year ago
                                                    Dunno, it's pretty damn good and quite useful. I asked Mistral 7b and Claude Opus to count the banned substances on the WADA anti doping list. Both avoided a straight response giving back loads of bs. Claude was next to useless. Mistral gave a somewhat acceptable answer counting substances on every chapter after much persuasion. Inflection's pi AI gave me a straight answer to the first question without any bs. I like its casual tone and the fact that it does not use needlessly superfluous language like the GPT models.
                                                    • crooked-v 1 year ago
                                                      Also, and I'm going to put this real bluntly, a "personal AI" isn't worth crap to a lot of people until it's allowed to talk about sex.

                                                      I'm not even talking for porn purposes. Sex is a basic and healthy part of most peoples' lives, any number of relationship issues revolve around it, and for plenty of people it's literally their profession, legal or not. Anything that pretends it can 'personally' help a broad spectrum of people while treating sex as verboten is just bullshit.

                                                      • echelon 1 year ago
                                                        A lot of people, on every side of every aisle, think that censorship of opinions and ideas that they do not hold is A-OK.

                                                        And here we are ensuring our models are cut in the same cloth we are. Reflections of the cages we wish to design for others.

                                                        War is peace. Oppression is safety.

                                                        • crooked-v 1 year ago
                                                          My firm belief is that there's no moral objection here by the companies involved. They just want to avoid being cut off by credit card processors because porn, and are cowardly enough to act like doing so is somehow protecting users.
                                                      • atoav 1 year ago
                                                        Well the NFT-hype people have to go somewhere..

                                                        They learned that most people can't tell the difference between actual technical concepts and PR speak and it worked to sell NFTs, so now that AI is all the hype, guess what.

                                                        • smoyer 1 year ago
                                                          Their web site is horrible on Mobile too!
                                                          • Leary 1 year ago
                                                            Exactly, honestly I think their business model could work if they have a GPT-4 level model for subscription.
                                                          • telltruth 1 year ago
                                                            They had raised massive amount and not from good patient investors. No traction means Mustafa got fired. This is not surprising though but what is surprising is MSFT picked him up. The guy is not technical, is not even visionary and had just got lucky hanging out with Demis. I would think Satya had better taste.
                                                            • Bjorkbat 1 year ago
                                                              He also left DeepMind because of allegations of bullying employees (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mustafa_Suleyman). Between that, what you just brought up, and the strange PR blitz he went on to promote his book, I kind of predicted Inflection would run into major trouble well before OpenAI and Anthropic
                                                              • Workaccount2 1 year ago
                                                                Some of the most damaging people I have met are people that you are absolutely enthralled with when you first get to know them.
                                                                • baq 1 year ago
                                                                  There’s a whole extremely famous book series on this very topic, you might have heard about it. The first volume’s title is ‘Paul is bad’ but it’s more widely known as ‘Dune’.
                                                                  • Lerc 1 year ago
                                                                    I actually found the portrayal of Paul in the Villeneuve films to be closer to what Frank Herbert described as his intent in interviews when compared to the book.

                                                                    That is, sincere with terrible consequences for bystanders. Not bad per se, but not conducive to the common good.

                                                                    I also felt that the books undermined the warnings of tyranny by leaning on prescience to provide an ends justify the means argument. Moreso with God Emperor where the Golden Path seemed to be the ultimate end justifying any act.

                                                                    • DaiPlusPlus 1 year ago
                                                                      Dune is about worms.
                                                                      • HorizonXP 1 year ago
                                                                        This is a deep cut. And c’mon, you can’t blame people for thinking Paul’s the good guy. He’s badass. It’s a great story.

                                                                        It’s when fiction becomes non-fiction that it’s a problem.

                                                                        • stavros 1 year ago
                                                                          Why is Paul bad? I read the books years ago but don't remember him being especially malicious.
                                                                        • rqtwteye 1 year ago
                                                                          That would apply probably to most famous entrepreneurs. Whatever I have read about Jobs, Musk, Gates and others, they all are very willing to abuse people to achieve their goals.
                                                                          • maest 1 year ago
                                                                            A => B <> B => A though
                                                                          • coffeebeqn 1 year ago
                                                                            First impressions is a sales skill
                                                                            • spaceman_2020 1 year ago
                                                                              True, and some of the most effective people I know haven’t been impressive when you first meet them.

                                                                              I’m now extremely wary of blusteringly confident, glib talkers. Experienced a high correlation between these traits and sociopathy.

                                                                              • geraldhh 1 year ago
                                                                                quite sure it's just unlucky ppl that got rewarded for acting like this
                                                                            • skepticATX 1 year ago
                                                                              Mustafa wasn’t exactly on his best behavior at DeepMind, if the allegations are to be believed. It really is surprising that Microsoft would hire him.
                                                                              • refulgentis 1 year ago
                                                                                It's crazy there's zero accountability for bad behavior in tech. I went through my own story at Google, and seeing them say it was vaguely bad before promoting him to VP mirrors exactly the "intervention" I saw.

                                                                                The deck is completely stacked against you based on hierarchy. Behavior that a fast food manager would proactively solve in 30 seconds gets ignored in white collar tech. No one above you will even mention it - they know you can't win and they just hope you'll quietly give up.

                                                                                If someone above you in the informal hierarchy is messing with you, there's massive confirmation bias if you complain. They'll spin it to whoever you complain to make you the bad guy. HR never helps - their job is to investigate, and then give the results to someone 2-3 steps above you to do something with.

                                                                                The higher ups control the outcome, and they designed the power structure in the first place, their confirmation bias is accept the spin.

                                                                                If you want to survive, avoid conflict 100% of the time. Let people blame you, fail reviews undeservedly.

                                                                                My Google career ended from just doing exactly what I was supposed to do in order to get a 3 year delayed project done, that 4 separate VPs had been asking for all those years. I spent 6 months warning my manager fuckery was afoot. Didn't matter. TPM witnessed and defended me, didn't matter. Guy who led it hired his unqualified childhood buddy to replace me. Didn't matter. All on me. Everyone wanted to do it, and gee whillakers, refulgentis went mad and dropped the ball completely for some reason.

                                                                                Of course, 6 months later they delayed the project a 4th year because they could, documenting the only downside being a strained relationship with a less influential partner team. (my orgs managers didn't realize their...unvarnished...takes were in a doc shared with all of Google)

                                                                                At the end of the day, HR will funnel you into taking mental health leave -- 6 months worth, exactly long enough that an EEOC complaint can no longer be filed. (took me 6 years to realize why "disgruntled Google employee" news articles always included a bit referencing leave/6 months off as if it was a bad thing. go/mh-leave if you're at Google. You don't actually need to talk to HR, and I don't recommend going to them ever. I didn't for this, but they wouldn't have helped.)

                                                                                The whole system is broken.

                                                                                • VirusNewbie 1 year ago
                                                                                  >Guy who led it hired his unqualified childhood buddy to replace me. Didn't matter. All on me. Everyone wanted to do it, and gee whillakers, refulgentis went mad and dropped the ball completely for some reason.

                                                                                  How is that possible at Google, which should have a hiring committee? Managers aren't allowed to just hire rando person.

                                                                                  Did your director or VP not like you or something? I'm curious if there's more to this story.

                                                                              • toomuchtodo 1 year ago
                                                                                Never underestimate the power of soft/social skills.
                                                                                • rqtwteye 1 year ago
                                                                                  That’s where the real money is. Even the best technologists won’t make it very far if they don’t know how to play politics.
                                                                                  • shermantanktop 1 year ago
                                                                                    One person’s “politics” is another person’s “demonstrate basic empathy and understand that your point of view is not universal.”

                                                                                    Yes, there are creatures who have no real skills other than navigating political currents. But there are also creatures who can’t understand that technical brilliance is no excuse for utter social cluelessness.

                                                                                • 1 year ago
                                                                                • lumost 1 year ago
                                                                                  The interesting emphasis to me is commercial customers. They are acknowledging that the competition to be the nth gpt vendor is too stiff for them, and they aren’t successful as an independent venture funded research lab.

                                                                                  I can think of 4-10 other large vc funded operations in this boat.

                                                                                  • bugglebeetle 1 year ago
                                                                                    Between this and the Mistral deal (that’s currently under investigation by the EU), Microsoft looks to be really trying to get back into the monopoly business with AI.
                                                                                    • baq 1 year ago
                                                                                      he who controls the spaice, controls the universe, after all.
                                                                                      • thomastjeffery 1 year ago
                                                                                        Microsoft has been in the monopoly business since at least 2001.
                                                                                      • andy99 1 year ago
                                                                                        Is Microsoft AI the thing that Altman was going to be in charge of in the short lived agreement he had with MS?
                                                                                        • joshmarinacci 1 year ago
                                                                                          I don't know about Inflection, but their new CEO is a great leader who I've worked with in the past. Just having him on board raises their status significantly in my mind.
                                                                                          • windbag 1 year ago
                                                                                            How is Inflections "Public Benefit Corporation" and "legal status" play here, and how are the lawyers dancing around that entity type (delaware registration, looks as if).

                                                                                            "This is why we decided to make Inflection a Public Benefit Corporation (PBC). It means we have a legal obligation to run our AI studio in a way that balances the financial interests of stockholders, the best interests of people materially affected by our activities, and the promotion of our specific public benefit purpose. That purpose is to “develop products and technologies that harness the power of AI to improve human well-being and productivity, whilst respecting individual freedoms, working for the common good and ensuring our products widely benefit current and future generations”. > https://inflection.ai/an-inflection-point

                                                                                            TITLE 8 Corporations CHAPTER 1. General Corporation Law Subchapter XV. Public Benefit Corporations > https://delcode.delaware.gov/title8/c001/sc15/

                                                                                            • windbag 1 year ago
                                                                                              LOL the authors of that Inflection Blog Post about their PBC status is literally stated as being: Mustafa Suleyman, Reid Hoffman, Karén Simonyan.
                                                                                            • lvl102 1 year ago
                                                                                              This space is moving so fast and it’s hard to keep track of SotA. How are management even keeping track? I suppose MSFT has enough cash to buy ‘em all.
                                                                                              • coffeebeqn 1 year ago
                                                                                                State of the art is still GPT-4? Others are playing catch up or hitting very similar benchmarks
                                                                                              • GaggiX 1 year ago
                                                                                                I've been using their new model for a few days and it works surprisingly well, it's also free and works in the EU.

                                                                                                I don't know how I feel about Microsoft's involvement here.

                                                                                                • m_ke 1 year ago
                                                                                                  No traction, was probably clear they didn't have a shot at growing the consumer side.
                                                                                                  • GaggiX 1 year ago
                                                                                                    They have +1 mln daily users.
                                                                                                    • DreamGen 1 year ago
                                                                                                      What's your source on this? They just very recently reached 100K downloads on Android and according to various SEO tools, they get maybe ~4M visitsper-month (and these tend to overestimate, plus it's monthly visits, not DAU).
                                                                                                      • riku_iki 1 year ago
                                                                                                        with capital investments required to keep them afloat, it may be not enough.
                                                                                                        • azinman2 1 year ago
                                                                                                          What’s the curve like
                                                                                                    • kazinator 1 year ago
                                                                                                      This kind of PR pep talk is not a good place to go on a tangent about how three of your co-founders bolted to Microsoft do do AI stuff there. #lolwtf
                                                                                                      • ChrisArchitect 1 year ago
                                                                                                        Related MS blog post:

                                                                                                        Mustafa Suleyman, DeepMind and Inflection Co-founder, joins Microsoft to lead Copilot

                                                                                                        https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=39757330

                                                                                                        • fnbr 1 year ago
                                                                                                          Wow. This is surprising. Not even an acquihire. I’m very curious about what happened internally to lead to this.
                                                                                                          • tfehring 1 year ago
                                                                                                            It would be extremely poor form for founders to intentionally leave their startup at this stage to take another job. In all likelihood they were pushed out by the board.

                                                                                                            My guess is that the founders were all in on Pi, their conversational language model, and investors lost confidence in their ability to build a sustainable venture-scale company on the ~4th best AI chatbot.

                                                                                                            • riku_iki 1 year ago
                                                                                                              no more money left..
                                                                                                            • intellectronica 1 year ago
                                                                                                              Could this be related to the recent news that Apple is in advanced stages of choosing Google as its AI provider? Maybe the last hope for Inflection was to become Apple's AI provider and when that fell through it was time to put an end to the misery.
                                                                                                              • vineyardmike 1 year ago
                                                                                                                This has only helped their small odds of becoming Apple’s provider.

                                                                                                                You can’t serve the LLM for every iOS device in the world without a big pile of inference machines and the only companies that fit that bill are Microsoft, Google, and Meta.

                                                                                                              • ashvardanian 1 year ago
                                                                                                                I've said it before, and I'll say it again. The Silicon Valley TV series desperately needs a reboot.
                                                                                                                • sarimkx 1 year ago
                                                                                                                  • gwern 1 year ago
                                                                                                                    Who gets the GPU clusters...?
                                                                                                                    • ShamelessC 1 year ago
                                                                                                                      Do they own their GPU clusters?
                                                                                                                      • gwern 1 year ago
                                                                                                                        You don't train GPT-3+ models or serve millions of users off Amazon spot instances, that's for sure! And whatever arrangement they have is likely transferrable or salable.
                                                                                                                        • ShamelessC 1 year ago
                                                                                                                          Yeah I’m aware I just didn’t know if they had something in house or leased from an HPC provider (not spot instances - although honestly that sort of thing wouldn’t surprise me from some other company like Stability).
                                                                                                                    • rvz 1 year ago
                                                                                                                      It appears that Inflection AI made no sense to begin with and Pi was quite frankly a performative research demo and didn't generate enough money for the VCs to justify another fundraising round. How is Inflection AI worth $4BN?

                                                                                                                      What can Pi do that is unique over the best of cloud LLMs and the hundreds of $0 free LLMs out there?

                                                                                                                      It appears that it is a vehicle for VCs to quickly run this company to the ground for a quick exit, knowing that this company is extremely overvalued.

                                                                                                                      Probably after this acqui-hire, the value of Inflection AI is now down to its real value of $200M at most.

                                                                                                                      • telltruth 1 year ago
                                                                                                                        My guess is that Mustafa wanted to sell to MSFT at 10X but MSFT didn’t wanted pay that kind of money. Mustafa was ok with fire sale but VCs were greedy. Mustafa then quite in rage.
                                                                                                                      • syntaxfree 1 year ago
                                                                                                                        I talked to Pi for one New York minute and it came up with the good ole “Ahhh the X Y of Z” LLM-ism. So much for an unique conversational tone.
                                                                                                                        • windbag 1 year ago
                                                                                                                          The series of events are more 'sketch' and smell worse than the OpenAI / Altman thing. This feels like a corporate war strike / competitor assassination. PI is AMAZING and its latest v2.5 model was only on the market for like a week before this shit went down. I say something in the new tech made massive stakeholders in M$ frantic and panic and deploy a rapid strike team NOW! Before people actually catch wind of how amazing it is/way.

                                                                                                                          Some chatter about this on PI's Discord --> https://discord.com/channels/1108047623623020575/12218898363...

                                                                                                                          Feels dark. Totes nonsensical. Fishy as fuk.

                                                                                                                          • 1 year ago
                                                                                                                            • ronhav3 1 year ago
                                                                                                                              How is it ok to start a company, hire people with big promises - and then leave them in a lurch ?
                                                                                                                              • patcon 1 year ago
                                                                                                                                Ugh. I dislike almost everything in this press release. Way to do all the wrong things, Inflection...
                                                                                                                                • htrp 1 year ago
                                                                                                                                  Inflection on deathwatch now?
                                                                                                                                  • mupuff1234 1 year ago
                                                                                                                                    Wasn't Mustafa kicked out of deepmind/Google due to harassment allegations? Seems like a pretty pathetic move from MSFT.
                                                                                                                                    • llIIllIIllIIl 1 year ago
                                                                                                                                      Nice website design.
                                                                                                                                      • vouaobrasil 1 year ago
                                                                                                                                        > As part of this, we’re thrilled to announce that we will now host Inflection-2.5 on Microsoft Azure helping us get it into the hands of creators everywhere.

                                                                                                                                        Hahah. You know, the word 'creator' has truly become co-opted by consumerism and greedy bigcorps. What a lot of posts like this never mention is one of the primary uses of AI: to make more efficient the system of trying to get us to buy even more things we don't need. I mean, who are we kidding? In a well-balanced life, we shouldn't need or even interact with personal AIs. We should slow down and appreciate what we have and seek for simplicity.

                                                                                                                                        If there's too much data to be handled in business, it means business is not going in the right direction, not that we need new tools to handle it.

                                                                                                                                        If we are pressured to write more, then we are creating things not of true value but merely to amuse.

                                                                                                                                        If we feel like becoming more efficient is a good thing, it simply is an extension of the original psychological manipulation of advertising demanding MORE for the industrial machine.

                                                                                                                                        Let's not fool ourselves into thinking this garbage is something good.

                                                                                                                                        • BriggyDwiggs42 1 year ago
                                                                                                                                          Pretty hard agree here, but I think there’s space for a gripe.

                                                                                                                                          Our default state as humans is pretty awful and materially deprived, so I think making technology to improve our conditions is good. Making technology that does powerful things in the real world is difficult partly because of the vast quantity of data in its structure. If we make powerful AI systems equipped to handle that scale and built to make our lives better, it would be good, but we’re failing to do that which is the issue.

                                                                                                                                          • vouaobrasil 1 year ago
                                                                                                                                            > Our default state as humans is pretty awful and materially deprived, so I think making technology to improve our conditions is good.

                                                                                                                                            It's not a dichotomy! When I rail against technology, I am not saying that everyone need go back to the stone age. But don't you think there might be a happy medium?

                                                                                                                                            At least personally, I've found that giving up a fair amount of technology in many cases has actually improved life in ways that I didn't think possible. Not everyone needs to be ascetic, but we seem to be headed to a life very tightly integrated with technology, and I think it's arguable that THIS POINT is past the point of that happy medium.

                                                                                                                                            • ggpsv 1 year ago
                                                                                                                                              "It is difficult to get a man to understand something when his salary depends upon his not understanding it".

                                                                                                                                              This quote summarizes much of the discourse in HN and the tech industry at large.

                                                                                                                                              As you point out, it is in fact a false dichotomy but it is hard to run counter to hundreds of years of cultural conditioning that has run amok since the start of the industrial revolution. Hobbesian thought is common in these threads!

                                                                                                                                              Luckily, we've had recent thinkers like Ellul, E.F. Schumacher, and Ivan Illich to challenge these entrenched views.

                                                                                                                                              • BriggyDwiggs42 1 year ago
                                                                                                                                                I think much of our technology today is just about consuming more crap, and all that could go and we’d be fine, but I also think that our, say, medical technology could be infinitely better than it is. There’s also cool potentials like space travel or intelligence augmentation that I wouldn’t want to concede.
                                                                                                                                                • tazu 1 year ago
                                                                                                                                                  I've started thinking technology is best when it's invisible.
                                                                                                                                                  • 1 year ago
                                                                                                                                                • airstrike 1 year ago
                                                                                                                                                  It's hard to agree with most of what you said without starting from the big assumption that "capitalism is bad" and "being anti-capitalism is a virtue"

                                                                                                                                                  Becoming more effective in and of itself simply means becoming more productive, which means creating goods and services with less, which means more "welfare" to people

                                                                                                                                                  If people are being convinced to buy shit they don't need, that's a separate issue. But don't throw the baby out with the bathwater

                                                                                                                                                  In my well balanced life, I love interacting with LLMs. I also appreciate the things I have all of the time, without needing to slowing down technological progress to do so

                                                                                                                                                  • ggpsv 1 year ago
                                                                                                                                                    I find it curious that your reaction to this is to reduce OP's point to the "capitalism is bad" trope when it is in fact more nuanced than that. His point isn't anti-capitalist per se - it critiques the traits of the dominant economic system that many of us currently live in.

                                                                                                                                                    I won't assume bad faith on your part, but your argument also relies on a big assumption with regards to productivity gains, and who reaps them, and at the detriment of whom and what.

                                                                                                                                                    • airstrike 1 year ago
                                                                                                                                                      Well, up until 5 minutes ago his bio explicitly mentioned "anti-capitalism" so I put 2 and 2 together
                                                                                                                                                    • vouaobrasil 1 year ago
                                                                                                                                                      > In my well balanced life, I love interacting with LLMs. I also appreciate the things I have all of the time, without needing to slowing down technological progress to do so

                                                                                                                                                      Okay that's fine, but you are not the rest of the world. While you enjoy the ultimate fruits of capitalism, there are people in developing countries suffering because of it through a lack of freedom and a destructiom of the landbases that they could once depend on. When climate change comes because of consumerism, it is you and other well-off people that will be able to move first.

                                                                                                                                                      OF COURSE, you will disagree with me, because you are probably at the apex. (Just the very fact that you have a well-balanced life means you are close to it, proportionally speaking to the entire human population.)

                                                                                                                                                      I don't claim that all capitalism is bad BTW. Rather, what I claim to be bad is global capitalism where other considerations have been eliminated or decimated.

                                                                                                                                                      • airstrike 1 year ago
                                                                                                                                                        People in developing countries are better off with capitalism than without it... speaking as someone born and raised in a developing country. No, capitalism isn't perfect, but then again nothing is

                                                                                                                                                        Speaking of Brazil specifically since that's in your nickname, the deforestation of the Amazon to make room for cattle isn't caused by developed countries running LLMs. It's caused by Brazilians who are negligent, complacent, happy, even, with that choice.

                                                                                                                                                        • GaggiX 1 year ago
                                                                                                                                                          I don't think I've ever seen a more clichéd argument against LLMs than "some people in the world suffer from capitalism".
                                                                                                                                                          • Nimitz14 1 year ago
                                                                                                                                                            r/im14
                                                                                                                                                        • ChildOfChaos 1 year ago
                                                                                                                                                          Wouldn't a personal AI help you live a more well-balanced life, allowing us to offload tasks to it so we can appreciate the world around us and simplicity, rather having to do it all ourselves?
                                                                                                                                                          • vouaobrasil 1 year ago
                                                                                                                                                            So far it seems that other automations have not done so. We've offloaded many tasks to computers, but now we spend more time than ever in front of a screen (see https://www.statista.com/statistics/645644/north-america-dai... for example). More people live in cities, with less opportunities for fresh air. And let's not forget that the system itself is so complex now with so many dependencies that we surround ourselves with anything but simplicity.

                                                                                                                                                            There might be a world where what you say is possible of course, but I don't see it in this one when it comes to more advanced forms of automation.

                                                                                                                                                            In fact, sometimes the joys of life can be found in the most simple of mechanical tasks. Of course, not everyone thinks so.

                                                                                                                                                            • crooked-v 1 year ago
                                                                                                                                                              The problem is that none of them are actually good enough for that yet. The closest I've seen are calendar-managing LLM services, and even those only really work because it's a tightly-constrained task set and easy to confirm the results as good or not.

                                                                                                                                                              Edit: I still can't even trust Siri to be fully accurate 100% of the time about turning the lights on and off, let alone anything more complicated than that.

                                                                                                                                                              • jjtheblunt 1 year ago
                                                                                                                                                                Why not just simplify, and not need such?
                                                                                                                                                              • 1 year ago
                                                                                                                                                              • Animats 1 year ago
                                                                                                                                                                Ah, PR. Buzzword buzzword buzzword ... second screen ... "two of our three co-founders ... will be leaving Inflection to start Microsoft AI",
                                                                                                                                                                • 1 year ago
                                                                                                                                                                • Sandra90 1 year ago
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                                                                                                                                                                  • camilamacedo 1 year ago
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                                                                                                                                                                    • bcopa 1 year ago
                                                                                                                                                                      Pretty mind-boggling how ChatGPT wrapper apps built by dev houses in Poland are absolutely crushing it, while Pi failed to gain any traction despite raising billions.
                                                                                                                                                                      • Pandabob 1 year ago
                                                                                                                                                                        Have not heard of these. Where can I learn more about them?
                                                                                                                                                                        • BoorishBears 1 year ago
                                                                                                                                                                          More mind-boggling they raised billions to do something any LLM can do with some prompts (be more personable)
                                                                                                                                                                          • dbish 1 year ago
                                                                                                                                                                            Which?
                                                                                                                                                                            • toisanji 1 year ago
                                                                                                                                                                              examples please
                                                                                                                                                                              • 1 year ago
                                                                                                                                                                              • Aerbil313 1 year ago
                                                                                                                                                                                The only inflection I see here is Microsoft single-handedly dominating global tech industry and its future after its years in sleep. US DoD must have been really worried about the US Empire’s continued dominance.
                                                                                                                                                                                • unethical_ban 1 year ago
                                                                                                                                                                                  Uh-huh.

                                                                                                                                                                                  Amazon, Google, Meta, and Apple are has-beens.

                                                                                                                                                                                  A plausible theory with less coordination required: Microsoft is a large company with lots of money attempting to regain competitive advantages against their rivals through acquisition.

                                                                                                                                                                                  • Aerbil313 1 year ago
                                                                                                                                                                                    Surely the others have ties with Pentagon too. But Microsoft is the biggest company in the world and the one most intertwined with the US government.
                                                                                                                                                                                    • unethical_ban 1 year ago
                                                                                                                                                                                      Sweet Jesus, I truly didn't know MSFT was at over $3,000,000,000,000 market cap.
                                                                                                                                                                                    • CuriouslyC 1 year ago
                                                                                                                                                                                      While that's a true story today, Satya is brutally outplaying Google, Amazon is a utility company and Apple's domain is hardware and will likely continue to be. Mark is making some good strategic plays to keep the field even, but Microsoft really is poised to clean up as AI takes off.
                                                                                                                                                                                      • danpalmer 1 year ago
                                                                                                                                                                                        Microsoft is poised to do well, sure, but they're currently beholden to Nvidia for hardware and OpenAI for models, and their main surface area for products is Office, Azure, and to a lesser extent, Outlook.

                                                                                                                                                                                        Comparatively, Google controls their hardware, Google builds their models, and Google has Search, Workspace, Gmail, Android, Cloud, and YouTube, all of which could have significant AI investments.

                                                                                                                                                                                        I'm not saying Satya isn't doing a great job, he really is, and I have many criticisms of Google's approach, but I do think Google is at least equally well positioned, and possibly better positioned.

                                                                                                                                                                                  • 1 year ago
                                                                                                                                                                                    • darth_avocado 1 year ago
                                                                                                                                                                                      Is tech hiring great? No. Is it the absolute worse it can be? Also no. Internship or apprenticeship instead of tech interviews are just take home tests that last multiple months, and that is a huge waste of time.

                                                                                                                                                                                      Yes, broken interview system currently rewards people who interview more, but when you combine it with other signals like resume, project presentations and other things, the chances of hiring bad candidates are low. Yes, you miss out on a lot of great candidates, but that is not a problem that big tech companies need to solve. Besides, not knowing the status of your employment 3-6 months down the line is not a great thing for candidates.

                                                                                                                                                                                      • Analog24 1 year ago
                                                                                                                                                                                        Internships are definitely not a waste of time. First of all, they pay well in and of themselves (at least in tech). Second of all, most internships are filled by students on their summer break. What better use of that time than getting an inside view of a company they might want to work for? From the companies perspective it gives them a much better idea of how well the candidate performs and how they fit in at the company, giving much higher confidence in a hiring decision that could lead to significant future impact.
                                                                                                                                                                                        • darth_avocado 1 year ago
                                                                                                                                                                                          I think you misunderstood. Internships for students during the summer definitely makes sense. However, i was talking about internships/probation as a way to evaluate candidates instead of interviews. Meaning if you are a staff engineer with 10+ years of experience, you’re still going to be hired conditionally for 3-6 months to see if you’re good enough for the team. I personally find that very prone to abuse.