What is your bet in 2025?

29 points by anh690136 6 months ago | 41 comments
What tech, product, or project are you betting on for 2025?
  • felipevb 6 months ago
    "Dumb electronics" - iPods/MP3players, dumbphones, e-ink screens/phones/readers, film cameras.
    • doublerabbit 6 months ago
      I just bought a Lootoo PAW6K after getting fed up with the iPhone and the headphone plug adapter.

      This player has its own OS, no WiFi or only for firmware upgrades. Has no apps and boots up under three seconds and large capacity from SD Card. The best is it just plays.

      What's even cooler is that it's a DAC so I can have my headphones plugged in to it and then use Spotify/Service to stream to the player.

      Expensive though at $1000 but just how I want it. My headphones decoupled from my mobile phone.

      • anastasiaess 6 months ago
        Diva, you can get an iPod nano on eBay…
        • sandreas 6 months ago
          I'm currently working in an iPod Nano like device based on LicheeRV Nano, TP4057, 2.8" Touch screen and a 1200mah battery. Software is buildroot and lvgl.

          Not so serious ATM but looks promising so far.

          Unfortunately all official sipeed 3" touch displays are sold out, probably i need to go I2C or DPI...

          • doublerabbit 6 months ago
            I didn't want an iPod nano, as I'm wanting to break away from the grey corporate gardens.
      • vouaobrasil 6 months ago
        My bet is that the big tech movement to use AI to grab as much wealth as possible will result in a severe backlash and wake many people up to the fact that the lastest modern technology is not all it's cracked up to be.
        • mnky9800n 6 months ago
          I think it will be led dramatic than that. It simply won’t work and there will be another developer hiring spree to hire people into data engineering positions where they build large data processing pipelines to make training wheels or guard rails for LLMs to justify the investment.
        • dsotirovski 6 months ago
          Solar market will further expand. Prices likely to go down as well.
          • Nakagawa835 6 months ago
            Agree, the prices have already gone down dramatically in recent years
          • cinntaile 6 months ago
            There is a thread from last week. https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=42490343
            • chistev 6 months ago
              I'm betting on me.
            • MarlonPro 6 months ago
              I'm betting on good, old writers that are not molested by ChatGPT. We will see troves of people getting back to Paperback & Hard Cover and people opting for pen and paper - analog - to record their daily lives.

              We're just scratching the surface on Generative AI and I'm already tired of it. I got a tech book that was obviously written with the aid of ChatGPT.

              I am favoring old non-fiction books for my reading pleasure - the ones that were bourne from human toil.

            • purple-leafy 6 months ago
              Product / Tech:

                  - Retro game engines
                    - Doom engine
                    - Wolfenstein engine
                    - Raycasting
                  - Console/PC emulators getting more popular
                  - New search engines doing okay (Kagi etc)
                  - Linux distros
                  - Programming
                    - Anything low-level
                    - C , C#, Rust
                    - Anything without the term "AI" in it
                  - Retro phones
              • rostakagmfun 6 months ago
                Interesting take, can you share you reasons for all things retro computing gaining popularity?
                • purple-leafy 6 months ago
                  typical software engineers are getting sick of AI, the large majority of software engineers are working in webdev

                  I think they will start migrating to lower level programming (to escape AI to an extent), and the most enjoyable lower level programming projects are:

                  - Writing your own language

                  - Retro game emulators

                  - Operating Systems

                  - Graphics programming

                  • JoeyJoJoJr 6 months ago
                    Also I think IDEs for retro consoles will become more prevalent, and there is the added benefit of of multiplayer for free with many emulators offering rollback netcode.
                  • mnky9800n 6 months ago
                    I feel like retro is already in
                  • heyitssim 6 months ago
                    interesting why so?

                    shameless plug: if you like retro-games I'm working on https://pixelbrawlgames.com

                    • purple-leafy 6 months ago
                      I said in the other comment, but I think AI/LLM's will drive many devs away from commercial development (web development/frontend) towards backend and lower level languages
                  • weinzierl 6 months ago
                    Ultra low-power, always-on, multi-year battery life, forget-about-them IoT devices will seep even deeper in everyones everyday life.
                    • ta12653421 6 months ago
                      i'm betting that i will get out of debt in 2025. Hopefully i win :)
                      • a_dabbler 6 months ago
                        Nooo don't double leverage, hedge your bet by betting you won't get out of debt :)
                      • AymanJabr 6 months ago
                        From here to the next 10 years or so, the bet is on Medical-Help. Almost every country in the world is struggling with constant under-staffing, populations are growing older, while pay for Nurses is going down. Now with AI technologies becoming more and more reliable, the biggest pain point to solve is Healthcare.
                        • tsltrad 6 months ago
                          At least in the US, a nurse has personal liability for a mistake.

                          A hallucination could not just be career/license ending but land the nurse in jail.

                          Even with 100% accuracy, is not entirely obvious to me how a nurse could leverage a language model to make their job that much easier.

                          A language model is not going to bath or dress someone.

                          • Lionga 6 months ago
                            "AI" (hallucinating LLMs) "solving" healthcare. One can just hope the VC money is not big enough for that horror show.
                            • danielbln 6 months ago
                              That GP on their second 48h shift might not be hallucination free either. The question is what we can fix first, the medical resource crunch or LLM confabulation.
                          • OnionBlender 6 months ago
                            AR glasses and the return of the glass-hole. Even less privacy.
                            • pjmlp 6 months ago
                              Improving myself, and stay relevant while AI keeping improving its automating capabilities.

                              Once upon a time Assembly developers thought optimizing compilers would never be good enough.

                              • grumpy-de-sre 6 months ago
                                Low cost ground based drones / robotic weapons platforms.
                                • anh690136 6 months ago
                                  I’m betting on an AI brain/assistant for individuals. My info is all over the place - blogs, newsletters, articles, emails, slack, tasks. I think the amount of information will surely grow, along with the overwhelm

                                  That’s why I’m putting my bet on building a product that helps manage it all better called Saner.AI

                                  • allenleein 6 months ago
                                    On-device LLMs/AI
                                    • EliRivers 6 months ago
                                      SP500 keeps going.
                                      • mikewarot 6 months ago
                                        BitGrid - a systolic array of 4x4 bit Look Up Tables and latches.

                                        Like Faraday's first electric motor, it'll have no practical use, at first. If I'm right, it'll be somewhat useful in reducing the power consumption of AI and let us ride Moore's law for a few more decades.

                                        • ThePhysicist 6 months ago
                                          I find this interesting, I saw a couple of other comments by you on this. Do you have a blog article or paper about this architecture?
                                          • mikewarot 6 months ago
                                            Blog: http://Bitgrid.blogspot.com

                                            The guts of an FPGA are a lot of D-flip-flops in chains, that shift in the bitstream, and then send control signals to LUTs, switching fabric, etc. What I propose is to remove most of the switching fabric, so that every cell is identical, and add latching to every cell's output, to eliminate timing (especially race conditions) as a concern.

                                            Every cell only has short connections to neighbors, so the capacitance of high speed lines that cause such grief in large VLSI designs is mostly removed (you do still need to clock those latches, so those would take some good drive signal).

                                        • internetbird 6 months ago
                                          People will go back to using Walkmans
                                          • Ramon188 6 months ago
                                            Betting on Southeast Asia labor market -> build product in low cost market and sell to high willingness to pay countries
                                            • adamredwoods 6 months ago
                                              batteries
                                              • more_corn 6 months ago
                                                I want to say one word to you. Just one word. Benjamin: Yes, sir. Mr. McGuire: Are you listening? Benjamin: Yes, I am. Mr. McGuire: <batteries>
                                              • aaron695 6 months ago
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                                                • eric2025 6 months ago
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